bobcat99 wrote: ↑Mon Aug 31, 2020 11:23 am
LCH wrote: ↑Mon Aug 31, 2020 9:56 am
The simple steps I refer to are masks and social distancing. Which at this point is all we are being asked to do.
Is that really all we're being asked to do?
I don't mean to be rude, but where the hell have you been?
It depends on where you are. Some places haven't been asked to do anything, like NoDak & SoDak, Iowa, Arkansas, Utah. One could take a few minutes & compare the economic impacts those places incurred vs their neighbors that didn't shut down. Then compare the marginal cost of the shutdown to the number of years of life saved vs other places.
From there, its pretty easy math to say "What was the cost of government mandates relative to the number of productive years of life saved".
I'm gonna throw out a little hint...governments that didn't order shutdown still took the same economic hit as everyone else. They mostly just have more dead bodies than their peers.
Lots of blame to go around to governments at all levels in this country. But they are having concerts in Wuhan (no cases for something like the last 2 months), fans are back in the stands in some European countries for "football", and some countries still only have a handful of cases (like New Zealand).
I'd suggest that maybe we look at data from the 'no response' group (the Dakotas & Sweden) vs the 'overreaction' group (China, maybe New York) and the 'kicked ass' group (Germany, New Zealand).
Theres been plenty of experimentation at this point. We know exactly what measures are going to get life back to normal (i.e. fans in the stands for fall football). Now its just a matter of generating enough will out of the general public (maybe good leadership would help?) to make that happen.
