Road to National Championship 2019-2020

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killinthegriz4
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Joined: Sat Nov 10, 2018 2:59 pm

Road to National Championship 2019-2020

Post by killinthegriz4 » Sat Nov 30, 2019 11:14 am

For long time readers of this forum, I have on occasionally posted a graphic of the win-loss record of MSU Football. Attached is the current one. One of my last posts was in regards to the Cat's program to see a 32 game skid after picking a new coach. That did happen. Now the projection is to a sustained trend higher. The position of the program is one where a National Championship "could" occur this season or next season. When upside chart resistance is broken (which will occur with a win 12/6/19), a sustained trend could occur before the next loss. The football program has not won 8 games in a row very often in its history. The few times it has, has most often led to a National Championship (Rob Ash 8 game win streak was the most recent and did not produce an NC). The 2019 Cats would have to win 8 in a row to win an NC this year. There is precedence and the chart is setup for something like this.
Last year I thought we were within 2 years of a National Championship run. So let's see if that plays out.

I updated the UM Football chart and they are indeed at a point to enter a sustained win streak (many year trend). So it looks like based on MSU and UM charts, there is going to be an NC won for a Montana school very soon. The 1st school to do this most likely starts to win the Montana kids recruiting battle as well.

I see Albany winning today but either of these charts would support a win. Albany just looks like it has one more win in it first before a loss.

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allcat
Golden Bobcat
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Joined: Mon Nov 02, 2009 5:13 pm
Location: 90 miles from Nirvana (Bobcat Stadium)

Re: Road to National Championship 2019-2020

Post by allcat » Sat Nov 30, 2019 11:33 am

I have no idea what these graphs mean. what do the x and y axis stand for?


Now sorry for caring about Cat/griz too much. I've been properly chastised by the coach of the other team. :-^

killinthegriz4
BobcatNation Redshirt
Posts: 13
Joined: Sat Nov 10, 2018 2:59 pm

Re: Road to National Championship 2019-2020

Post by killinthegriz4 » Sat Nov 30, 2019 1:12 pm

Y axis is cumulative Win/Loss. X axis is number of games played.

You can see Albany has spent most of the time above the zero line which means they are mostly a winning program. Both MSU and CCSU have spent most of their time below the zero line...so they would be classified as losing programs. You can see there are long trends in MSU football. They are on a winning trend. There are patterns that form for long term trends and MSU entered one 15 years ago. I posted on this at the time and said that if this program was a stock, it was a major buy. The program turned around and has since been trending higher. There are certain locations where trends accelerate and MSU is at that point. MSU would have to win 16 games in a row to get up to the zero line. When MSU gets to zero again, this time it will not turn and head to the basement. There may be a corrective phase/consolidation near the zero line, but I don't expect a very long one...it doesn't happen here in the pattern.



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