What Are The Chances

[catscat]

That UC Davis makes it to the chipper now that NDSU is out?

I'm leaving our team to handle the one game at a time, but I think this possibility is interesting. The QF game is at Davis which is in their favor. Have no clue as to how they stack up against Illinois State, Vanderbilt, or Tarleton. Maybe one of you experts can enlighten me.

[MSU01]

UC Davis wouldn't stack up very well against Vanderbilt but they should be fine against Villanova!

I'd give Davis a 70% chance of winning against Illinois State this week and then a 40% chance of winning at Tarleton in the semis, so I'll estimate (0.70)(0.40) = 0.28 or a 28% chance of them making it to Nashville. If Nova beats Tarleton and Davis gets to play the semifinal game at home, up that to around a 50% chance to get there.

[technoCat]

Well I definitely don't they stack up favorably with Vanderbilt...

They definitely had the door open for them. If they can stay focused they can beat anybody on that side of the bracket. See if ISU can stay focused after their huge win.

[catscat]

Well I definitely don't they stack up favorably with Vanderbilt...

I guess probably not. My mistake - Vanderbilt isn't on their side of the bracket.

Guess I just have Vanderbilt on my mind for some reason.

[94VegasCat]

I thought UCD had a punchers chance against the fuzzy cows. Now we’ll see how they do against a more even opponent.

[ClowderUp]

My money is on Vanderbilt to roll. I liked Diego Pavia at NM State and I really like this SEC version on him.

[grizzh8r]

Well I definitely don't they stack up favorably with Vanderbilt...

I guess probably not. My mistake - Vanderbilt isn't on their side of the bracket.

Guess I just have Vanderbilt on my mind for some reason.

Well the FCS national championship game is being played in Vanderbilt's home stadium, so perhaps it was just a subliminal mental thing?

[catatac]

Well if they do make it, they'll get destroyed by a team from Montana.

[lutecat]

Vandy got left out of the FBS playoffs. Such a travesty.

[Colter_Nuanez]

For what it's worth, Davis is only a 1-point favorite at home over Illinois State after the Redbirds beat North Dakota State.

Last year, Davis was the 5-seed and Illinois State was the 12-seed. They played in the second round. Davis won 42-10.

[kwcat]

Davis wins