Cats vs. UC Davis predictions

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AFCAT
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Re: Cats vs. UC Davis predictions

Post by AFCAT » Mon Sep 26, 2022 4:18 pm

NC ag alum wrote:
Mon Sep 26, 2022 3:28 pm
Hello Cats fans. I am looking forward to traveling to Bozeman from North Carolina to watch the Aggies (my alma mater) take on the Bobcats. I still have no tickets from fuzzyseats (aka Vividseats) after purchasing them about 6 weeks ago -that experience has been very frustrating and I do not expect I'll have them prior to game time. Congratulations on your big win over EWU. Most Aggie fans have a similar opinion of EWU "elements" shall we say as most of you seem to have.

There are many on our discussion board that are not entirely sold on Hastings at QB. Insider info had him 3rd after fall camp. Maybe his best attribute is that he plays mostly within his limits. His stats look pretty good until you look at yards per pass attempt which is a quite pedestrian number. He throws a lot of quick short passes, and doesn't stretch the field much. Ulonzo Gilliam is the real deal. He is the Aggies best and most consistent weapon. Castles is a very good tight end and they often show a 12 package with Thorpe lining up as the other tight end. The defense has improved this year - two of the most productive starters (Buchanan at middle linebacker, and Rex Conners at rover) were out against Weber. That game left sort of a sour taste in many of our mouths with 3 missed field goals and red zone botches. As always, Weber's D is good.

Here's to a good, injury free contest. I hope Tommy Mellot is up and running soon. His head bouncing on that awful red turf was scary. We plan to check out the tailgating.
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Re: Cats vs. UC Davis predictions

Post by CelticCat » Mon Sep 26, 2022 4:47 pm

Not sure how I'm feeling about this one. UCD lost to Weber and SDSU by a combined 7 points. They throw the ball 50 times a game but they don't go deep a whole lot, seems to be more of an extension of the running game type passing attack.

Defensively they have some solid players, especially #4 Rex Conners, looks real good in run support, hits hard.

Tackling in space is going to be key to the Cats success on defense, and offensively obviously we need to get the running game going. I think we also need to pass for at least 150, even if that means those forward toss sweep things that count as passes.

I like MSU at home but this could be a big challenge.


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Re: Cats vs. UC Davis predictions

Post by LTown Cat » Tue Sep 27, 2022 8:41 am

Uncharacteristic TO's by UCD win this one for MSU...MSU goes +4 for the game.

Cats 27
UCD 20



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Re: Cats vs. UC Davis predictions

Post by RickRund » Tue Sep 27, 2022 10:59 am

Massey has the CATS at 31-24...


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Re: Cats vs. UC Davis predictions

Post by seataccat » Tue Sep 27, 2022 12:10 pm

Cats 30
Ags 27


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Re: Cats vs. UC Davis predictions

Post by kennethnoisewater » Tue Sep 27, 2022 12:17 pm

CelticCat wrote:
Mon Sep 26, 2022 4:47 pm
Not sure how I'm feeling about this one. UCD lost to Weber and SDSU by a combined 7 points. They throw the ball 50 times a game but they don't go deep a whole lot, seems to be more of an extension of the running game type passing attack.

Defensively they have some solid players, especially #4 Rex Conners, looks real good in run support, hits hard.

Tackling in space is going to be key to the Cats success on defense, and offensively obviously we need to get the running game going. I think we also need to pass for at least 150, even if that means those forward toss sweep things that count as passes.

I like MSU at home but this could be a big challenge.
I don't really know what to think about Davis after that SDSU game. They were down 24-10 with 3.5 minutes left in that game, so part of me thinks this was some garbage time stuff. They got about 100 of their 322 total yards on those last two drives to make it a game (they recovered an onside kick after the first 4th quarter TD). But they held SDSU to 250 total yards which is impressive, even though it's more than double what SDSU had the week before against Iowa. If they had any kicking game at all they'd be 3-1.


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Re: Cats vs. UC Davis predictions

Post by 1catz » Tue Sep 27, 2022 1:32 pm

Catz win easy! 30-12



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Re: Cats vs. UC Davis predictions

Post by HawkAndBobcat » Tue Sep 27, 2022 2:32 pm

Montana State- 26
UC Davis- 19



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Re: Cats vs. UC Davis predictions

Post by Lord Vigo » Tue Sep 27, 2022 3:06 pm

U.C. Davis is a pretty tough out, but they don't defend the run well, which is obviously going to be a problem.

I'm going to say that MSU piles on 400+ rushing yards and literally outruns Aggies 31-24.



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Re: Cats vs. UC Davis predictions

Post by BleedingBLue » Tue Sep 27, 2022 3:18 pm

Lord Vigo wrote:
Tue Sep 27, 2022 3:06 pm
U.C. Davis is a pretty tough out, but they don't defend the run well, which is obviously going to be a problem.

I'm going to say that MSU piles on 400+ rushing yards and literally outruns Aggies 31-24.
Hmm how do you figure they don't defend the run well? They aren't giving up 6 YPC or something. They gave up 3.2 YPC to SDSU, who has arguably the best O line in the FCS, and one of the best RBs. They gave up 4.3 YPC to Weber, who had a couple bigger runs in the 2nd half. I doubt we run for 250+



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Re: Cats vs. UC Davis predictions

Post by PortlandCat90 » Tue Sep 27, 2022 3:19 pm

Cats 31
Hauck Tackles 29
Viticulturalists/Enologists 26



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Re: Cats vs. UC Davis predictions

Post by ilovethecats » Tue Sep 27, 2022 3:45 pm

BleedingBLue wrote:
Tue Sep 27, 2022 3:18 pm
Lord Vigo wrote:
Tue Sep 27, 2022 3:06 pm
U.C. Davis is a pretty tough out, but they don't defend the run well, which is obviously going to be a problem.

I'm going to say that MSU piles on 400+ rushing yards and literally outruns Aggies 31-24.
Hmm how do you figure they don't defend the run well? They aren't giving up 6 YPC or something. They gave up 3.2 YPC to SDSU, who has arguably the best O line in the FCS, and one of the best RBs. They gave up 4.3 YPC to Weber, who had a couple bigger runs in the 2nd half. I doubt we run for 250+
If we don’t rush for at least 250 I think we’ll have a hell of a time winning this one.



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Re: Cats vs. UC Davis predictions

Post by Lord Vigo » Tue Sep 27, 2022 3:54 pm

BleedingBLue wrote:
Tue Sep 27, 2022 3:18 pm
Lord Vigo wrote:
Tue Sep 27, 2022 3:06 pm
U.C. Davis is a pretty tough out, but they don't defend the run well, which is obviously going to be a problem.

I'm going to say that MSU piles on 400+ rushing yards and literally outruns Aggies 31-24.
Hmm how do you figure they don't defend the run well? They aren't giving up 6 YPC or something. They gave up 3.2 YPC to SDSU, who has arguably the best O line in the FCS, and one of the best RBs. They gave up 4.3 YPC to Weber, who had a couple bigger runs in the 2nd half. I doubt we run for 250+
You have to fix the stats because CFB box scores count sacks as negative rush yards.

Weber ran on UCD for 5.9 YPC, USD for 5.0 YPC, and SDSU for 4.9.

MSU has run for 359 (6.1) Vs. McNeese, 290 (9.4) Vs Morehead, 168 (5.3) @OSU, and 355 (5.9) @EW

So I like MSU's chances.



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Re: Cats vs. UC Davis predictions

Post by BleedingBLue » Tue Sep 27, 2022 4:06 pm

Lord Vigo wrote:
Tue Sep 27, 2022 3:54 pm
BleedingBLue wrote:
Tue Sep 27, 2022 3:18 pm
Lord Vigo wrote:
Tue Sep 27, 2022 3:06 pm
U.C. Davis is a pretty tough out, but they don't defend the run well, which is obviously going to be a problem.

I'm going to say that MSU piles on 400+ rushing yards and literally outruns Aggies 31-24.
Hmm how do you figure they don't defend the run well? They aren't giving up 6 YPC or something. They gave up 3.2 YPC to SDSU, who has arguably the best O line in the FCS, and one of the best RBs. They gave up 4.3 YPC to Weber, who had a couple bigger runs in the 2nd half. I doubt we run for 250+
You have to fix the stats because CFB box scores count sacks as negative rush yards.

Weber ran on UCD for 5.9 YPC, USD for 5.0 YPC, and SDSU for 4.9.

MSU has run for 359 (6.1) Vs. McNeese, 290 (9.4) Vs Morehead, 168 (5.3) @OSU, and 355 (5.9) @EW

So I like MSU's chances.
Fair enough! I was not even thinking about sacks.



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Re: Cats vs. UC Davis predictions

Post by kennethnoisewater » Tue Sep 27, 2022 4:20 pm

Lord Vigo wrote:
Tue Sep 27, 2022 3:54 pm
BleedingBLue wrote:
Tue Sep 27, 2022 3:18 pm
Lord Vigo wrote:
Tue Sep 27, 2022 3:06 pm
U.C. Davis is a pretty tough out, but they don't defend the run well, which is obviously going to be a problem.

I'm going to say that MSU piles on 400+ rushing yards and literally outruns Aggies 31-24.
Hmm how do you figure they don't defend the run well? They aren't giving up 6 YPC or something. They gave up 3.2 YPC to SDSU, who has arguably the best O line in the FCS, and one of the best RBs. They gave up 4.3 YPC to Weber, who had a couple bigger runs in the 2nd half. I doubt we run for 250+
You have to fix the stats because CFB box scores count sacks as negative rush yards.

Weber ran on UCD for 5.9 YPC, USD for 5.0 YPC, and SDSU for 4.9.

MSU has run for 359 (6.1) Vs. McNeese, 290 (9.4) Vs Morehead, 168 (5.3) @OSU, and 355 (5.9) @EW

So I like MSU's chances.
I like MSU's chances to get more rushing yards than an opponent generally gives up. OSU gave up 4.8 YPC to USC, so it's not a stretch to think MSU is better than most at getting yards on the ground. I think if MSU can get outside the tackles there should be opportunities for big runs. Davis seems a little bit like Idaho last year when MSU played them. Elliot had to carry the load in that one too, but right now Chambers is better than McKay was at that point in the season. I'd expect a few more throws over the middle of the field as I think Chambers sees those better than Mellott due to his height. I think it'll take a well-called game from Houseright, but I think he has it in him. He'll be preparing for Chambers to take all the snaps this week, a luxury he didn't have last week.

MSU - 27
Davis - 17


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Re: Cats vs. UC Davis predictions

Post by CelticCat » Tue Sep 27, 2022 10:17 pm

UCD presser



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Re: Cats vs. UC Davis predictions

Post by GoCats18 » Tue Sep 27, 2022 11:10 pm

Montana State—33
UC—-22


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Re: Cats vs. UC Davis predictions

Post by 94VegasCat » Wed Sep 28, 2022 5:07 am

Turnovers will be the key to this game. We need to not throw the ball away. Efficient rock pounding football will keep us in this game. We rush for 400yds and win this easily. We throw 2-3 picks and a fumble or two and we’re in really deep trouble.

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Re: Cats vs. UC Davis predictions

Post by wbtfg » Wed Sep 28, 2022 9:12 am

MT Sportsbet has MSU fafored by 8.5 with an O/U of 56.5.

That would put the implied score at MSU 32.5 UCD 24.



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Re: Cats vs. UC Davis predictions

Post by RockyBearCat » Wed Sep 28, 2022 10:09 am

LTown Cat wrote:
Tue Sep 27, 2022 8:41 am
Uncharacteristic TO's by UCD win this one for MSU...MSU goes +4 for the game.

Cats 27
UCD 20
I think if Cats go +4, they score over 40. Maybe this is the wrong thread, but that is my BOLD PREDICTION. =D^



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