Attendance predictions UT Martin at MSU

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BleedingBLue
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Re: Attendance predictions UT Martin at MSU

Post by BleedingBLue » Wed Dec 01, 2021 12:04 am

aucat wrote:
Tue Nov 30, 2021 11:47 pm
Well we certainly cannot blame the weather for our attendance this Saturday. This mild weather we are having is crazy.

I know that all of the "true blue Cat" fans will be at the playoff game, but I do have a question. There are always the "Fair weather" type
of fans and I wonder, what if the score in the Cat-Griz game was reversed? What if we had gone into Missoula and SMOKED the Griz 29-10?
What difference do you think this would have made regarding the turnout this Saturday?? Maybe I'm wrong but I think a fairly significant number of fans on both sides kinda lose interest when they get crushed by their rival. For example, in 2019 after WE crushed the griz I see where UM had a little over 16k attendance for their
playoff game with SE Louisiana.

I'm going to predict 13,000 for our game with UT-Martin.
The attendance numbers on Thanksgiving weekend are always low, doesn't matter where the game is played. Students are home, people are with their families etc. That 16K the Griz had against SELA in 2019 was Thanksgiving weekend. I honestly don't think the Cat/Griz game is gi8ng to have an effect on attendance either way. Budgets around Christmas and the weather will determine tha size of the crowd in my opinion.



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Re: Attendance predictions UT Martin at MSU

Post by coochorama42 » Wed Dec 01, 2021 12:52 am

MSU can probably sell out if the rumors on the other thread are true. Butte travels well...



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Re: Attendance predictions UT Martin at MSU

Post by weirdolocalthatlikesbozonow » Wed Dec 01, 2021 5:42 am

Honestly, it's going to be damn warm for December in Bozeman. Maybe a tad windy but other than that 45 at the lowest?
I know it won't get the same attendance, but it might as well be an early October game weather wise.



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Re: Attendance predictions UT Martin at MSU

Post by 91catAlum » Wed Dec 01, 2021 6:13 am

BleedingBLue wrote:
Wed Dec 01, 2021 12:04 am
aucat wrote:
Tue Nov 30, 2021 11:47 pm
Well we certainly cannot blame the weather for our attendance this Saturday. This mild weather we are having is crazy.

I know that all of the "true blue Cat" fans will be at the playoff game, but I do have a question. There are always the "Fair weather" type
of fans and I wonder, what if the score in the Cat-Griz game was reversed? What if we had gone into Missoula and SMOKED the Griz 29-10?
What difference do you think this would have made regarding the turnout this Saturday?? Maybe I'm wrong but I think a fairly significant number of fans on both sides kinda lose interest when they get crushed by their rival. For example, in 2019 after WE crushed the griz I see where UM had a little over 16k attendance for their
playoff game with SE Louisiana.

I'm going to predict 13,000 for our game with UT-Martin.
The attendance numbers on Thanksgiving weekend are always low, doesn't matter where the game is played. Students are home, people are with their families etc. That 16K the Griz had against SELA in 2019 was Thanksgiving weekend. I honestly don't think the Cat/Griz game is gi8ng to have an effect on attendance either way. Budgets around Christmas and the weather will determine tha size of the crowd in my opinion.
The griz had a bye week in 2019, as the 6 seed. They didn't play on Thanksgiving weekend.


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snarf
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Re: Attendance predictions UT Martin at MSU

Post by snarf » Wed Dec 01, 2021 7:07 am

People’s perception of what it takes to make a stadium feel full is always skewed by announced attendance which is based on ticket sales. https://www.forbes.com/sites/sportsmon ... ae654b2b2aIf there are 13000-14000 people there, it won’t feel substantially less full than an average regular season game, other than there might be some larger pockets that would normally be a little better dispersed. Add in the fact that was mentioned before that in the playoffs the fans who are there really want to be there. Bodes well for being a great atmosphere. Going to guess 14007.



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Re: Attendance predictions UT Martin at MSU

Post by justafan » Wed Dec 01, 2021 9:16 am

Cataholic wrote:
Tue Nov 30, 2021 11:49 pm
justafan wrote:
Tue Nov 30, 2021 7:11 pm
GoCats18 wrote:
Tue Nov 30, 2021 7:04 pm
After last weekends turnouts, I would be happy seeing 10K.
that would be pretty disappointing.I heard Griz have already sold 20,000 and expect more.
Griz troll. Too dUMb to understand the difference between playing a hated conference rival and playing a team from the OVC.
wtf..we want to get good seeds and we can't put 15000 or more in our stadium? not a troll and not a troll post..nobody wants to support our players because not a rival? seems like fair weather fans for the most part. Everyone wonders why griz get preference and crowd size is one of the reasons.



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Re: Attendance predictions UT Martin at MSU

Post by RockyBearCat » Wed Dec 01, 2021 9:18 am

Lets go 15117



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Re: Attendance predictions UT Martin at MSU

Post by Cataholic » Wed Dec 01, 2021 10:37 am

justafan wrote:
Wed Dec 01, 2021 9:16 am
Cataholic wrote:
Tue Nov 30, 2021 11:49 pm
justafan wrote:
Tue Nov 30, 2021 7:11 pm
GoCats18 wrote:
Tue Nov 30, 2021 7:04 pm
After last weekends turnouts, I would be happy seeing 10K.
that would be pretty disappointing.I heard Griz have already sold 20,000 and expect more.
Griz troll. Too dUMb to understand the difference between playing a hated conference rival and playing a team from the OVC.
wtf..we want to get good seeds and we can't put 15000 or more in our stadium? not a troll and not a troll post..nobody wants to support our players because not a rival? seems like fair weather fans for the most part. Everyone wonders why griz get preference and crowd size is one of the reasons.
You referred to the griz as your team in a past post. You are an awful troll.



St George
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Re: Attendance predictions UT Martin at MSU

Post by St George » Wed Dec 01, 2021 10:38 am

Last home game of the season, hunting season is basically over, weather should be tolerable, beer will be cold, I'll go with 17,777.



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Re: Attendance predictions UT Martin at MSU

Post by coochorama42 » Wed Dec 01, 2021 11:18 am

I think we have a good chance of hosting SDSU in the semifinal.
St George wrote:
Wed Dec 01, 2021 10:38 am
Last home game of the season, hunting season is basically over, weather should be tolerable, beer will be cold, I'll go with 17,777.



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Re: Attendance predictions UT Martin at MSU

Post by justafan » Wed Dec 01, 2021 11:19 am

Cataholic wrote:
Wed Dec 01, 2021 10:37 am
justafan wrote:
Wed Dec 01, 2021 9:16 am
Cataholic wrote:
Tue Nov 30, 2021 11:49 pm
justafan wrote:
Tue Nov 30, 2021 7:11 pm
GoCats18 wrote:
Tue Nov 30, 2021 7:04 pm
After last weekends turnouts, I would be happy seeing 10K.
that would be pretty disappointing.I heard Griz have already sold 20,000 and expect more.
Griz troll. Too dUMb to understand the difference between playing a hated conference rival and playing a team from the OVC.
wtf..we want to get good seeds and we can't put 15000 or more in our stadium? not a troll and not a troll post..nobody wants to support our players because not a rival? seems like fair weather fans for the most part. Everyone wonders why griz get preference and crowd size is one of the reasons.
You referred to the griz as your team in a past post. You are an awful troll.
really, where? I have never referred to griz as my team so not sure how wanting attendance is trolling.



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Re: Attendance predictions UT Martin at MSU

Post by justafan » Wed Dec 01, 2021 11:19 am

St George wrote:
Wed Dec 01, 2021 10:38 am
Last home game of the season, hunting season is basically over, weather should be tolerable, beer will be cold, I'll go with 17,777.
that would be nice.



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Re: Attendance predictions UT Martin at MSU

Post by catatac » Wed Dec 01, 2021 11:44 am

snarf wrote:
Wed Dec 01, 2021 7:07 am
People’s perception of what it takes to make a stadium feel full is always skewed by announced attendance which is based on ticket sales. https://www.forbes.com/sites/sportsmon ... ae654b2b2aIf there are 13000-14000 people there, it won’t feel substantially less full than an average regular season game, other than there might be some larger pockets that would normally be a little better dispersed. Add in the fact that was mentioned before that in the playoffs the fans who are there really want to be there. Bodes well for being a great atmosphere. Going to guess 14007.
[-X hey now, that prediction is already taken... by me! :wink:


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snarf
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Re: Attendance predictions UT Martin at MSU

Post by snarf » Wed Dec 01, 2021 4:37 pm

catatac wrote:
Wed Dec 01, 2021 11:44 am
snarf wrote:
Wed Dec 01, 2021 7:07 am
People’s perception of what it takes to make a stadium feel full is always skewed by announced attendance which is based on ticket sales. https://www.forbes.com/sites/sportsmon ... ae654b2b2aIf there are 13000-14000 people there, it won’t feel substantially less full than an average regular season game, other than there might be some larger pockets that would normally be a little better dispersed. Add in the fact that was mentioned before that in the playoffs the fans who are there really want to be there. Bodes well for being a great atmosphere. Going to guess 14007.
[-X hey now, that prediction is already taken... by me! :wink:
#-o Let’s say it is not an official guess. I am just agreeing with yours. :D



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Re: Attendance predictions UT Martin at MSU

Post by TomCat88 » Wed Dec 01, 2021 4:43 pm

St George wrote:
Wed Dec 01, 2021 10:38 am
Last home game of the season, hunting season is basically over, weather should be tolerable, beer will be cold, I'll go with 17,777.
Didn’t realize all those variables were in play. Just saw 55 for the high. The media doesn’t seem to be hyping the game much. I CP’d MSU, like always, for the Tuesday Helena IR and Montana Standard. So maybe a lot of people my age will show up. 😉


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Re: Attendance predictions UT Martin at MSU

Post by gtapp » Wed Dec 01, 2021 4:46 pm

You can go to the MSU ticket office web page and buy tickets for people without the means to buy their own. Great cause and helps fill the stadium. I bought 2.


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Re: Attendance predictions UT Martin at MSU

Post by TomCat88 » Wed Dec 01, 2021 5:12 pm

You need to be north of 14,000 to be right. 2-3 more days to go. Should be over 15,000.


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Re: Attendance predictions UT Martin at MSU

Post by TomCat88 » Wed Dec 01, 2021 5:13 pm

gtapp wrote:
Wed Dec 01, 2021 4:46 pm
You can go to the MSU ticket office web page and buy tickets for people without the means to buy their own. Great cause and helps fill the stadium. I bought 2.
Cool. We’re up to 38 from BN.com.


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Re: Attendance predictions UT Martin at MSU

Post by bvancleeve » Wed Dec 01, 2021 5:25 pm

I started another thread on this with more information! Great work everyone! You can add 20 from Pine Cove Consulting to that list :)

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Re: Attendance predictions UT Martin at MSU

Post by Catsrgrood » Wed Dec 01, 2021 5:42 pm

Just quickly looked through the map at available seats. The far two sections in the east bleachers have probably half their seats still available, but it looks like every other section is well into the 75%+ range of tickets sold, a few sections are easily 90% sold. That bodes well for Saturday.

I already made my prediction, but I think it’s very realistic we get into that 15k+ range.



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